Final Oakland Raider Grades v.s. Buffalo Bills; Week 13:
Buffalo Bills 24 (6-6)
Oakland Raiders 38 (10-2)
In another fun day in Oakland, the Raiders came back and beat a tough Buffalo Bills team 38-24. In a game that was up and down; a lot like most Raider games this year; the Raiders now will go onto key road games in the AFC West. The Bills have beaten only one team with a winning record and that was against a 3rd string QB against the Patriots during Tom Brady’s suspension.
I like Derek Carr. In fact I watched him twice in person when he was at Fresno St. and I lauded his draft pick before Raider fans even knew who he was. But the Raiders pattern of winning; and their winning in general is lead by someone else.
The co-MVP of the NFL this year is the Raiders and Dallas Cowboys OL. College fans remember Dak Prescott with some pretty bad epic fails for MSU late in games in the SEC. He had a rep for it. But behind that OL in Dallas; the best in the NFL; and one of the best running games in the NFL and they give Dak all day to throw and succeed.
There is a saying; give an average QB time to throw and he will be good. Give a very good QB time and he will be great. Prescott & Carr are loving it. They’ve played great all year. The Raiders OL is wearing out teams in the second half. Do you think it’s a coincidence that the Raiders offense starts to get going in the mid to the end of the third quarter? No it’s not. The Raiders huge, physical OL is wearing teams out over time. Opponents get some pressure on Carr in the first half; Carr and the offense struggles; and then they go off in the second half with Carr having all day to throw. NOT a coincidence.
Media Blowing it Big Time:
Where is the outrage at another failed season by media darling Rex Ryan? After the Bills got the 2 TD lead what does Ryan do? He goes Wildcat! How genius. Your team is making almost 8 yards a run and you now become one dimensional bringing up the Raiders safeties. Then in the next 10 plays after getting their 15 point lead, they use one of the worst passing QB’s in the NFL; Tyrod Taylor; passing 6 out of the next 10 plays. Are you kidding me? Too many ex-jocks who are analysts who don’t want to make waves.
I’m sorry; but if Rex Ryan and Rob Ryan were my coaches, I would need counseling. Buffalo has no QB but because Taylor can run and is athletic, the media like him. Buffalo’s front 7 on D and run game are really good but they are going nowhere with their QB and head coach leading the way.
Carr had another great second half. His throws were crisp and on target. Derek Carr didn’t have all day to throw in the first half and the Raiders offense struggled at times. He had all day to throw in the second half and he torched the Bills ordinary secondary. Again; NOT a coincidence. Carr is playing at a high level but his level is higher when he’s not touched.
Slow start, fast finish. Carr is on fire!
The Raiders running backs ran for 139 yards at a 4.3 clip. Another solid if not spectacular game by a good group. Jalen Richard is now the #2 back for sure getting 9 carries.
Grade B +
A good, solid game by this group. What is impressive is their ability to pick up blitzes. Their pass blocking is unnoticed by everyone but Carr and the coaches. Excellent job.
Same stuff different day. They are physically wearing teams out into submission. Another half of dominance. Carr had no one near him in the second half. Only Dallas has a better group.
Donald Penn STILL has not given up a sack all year. That is unreal. These guys are the key to the success of the Raiders.
Amari Cooper, Seth Roberts and Michael Crabtree had drops. They redeemed themselves in the second half and had another excellent finish. Tight End Mychal Rivera had another solid game, catching 3 passes for 57 yards and Clive Walford added another for 18 yards. The Raiders have to use their Tight Ends if they are going to do any damage in the playoffs.
GRADE: B +
Carr has a lot of solid weapons and he used all of them against a game Bills squad. A good day all around for the receiving core.
A tale of two cities. First the bad. That was the worst run defensive performance in the NFL this year. The Raiders gave up 212 yards at 7.1 yards a carry. Those are high school numbers. I’m still not getting Jihad Ward. He was not a factor in the run game. He did have one sack but even that one wasn’t all on him. Not counting the sack he had no other tackles. It’s not just him; this DL doesn’t get penetration in the run game.
On the pass rushing side, with the offense staying on the field, a rested group came after the QB with abandon. They ended up with 4 sacks and 2 key plays from Kahlil Mack who’s slow start is forgotten. Mack is on fire right now and has 10 sacks on the year. He did get fooled on 2 read option plays but otherwise he had a great game.
The run defense was a joke. The pass rush though played well in the second half. I’m in a generous mood I guess because of the holidays.
Watching tape of this game was hard. I’ve never seen a group make so many tackles 5-10 yards downfield against the run. Malcolm Smith was pancake blocked twice and Jihad Ward was pushed around. Perry Riley Jr. was active and made a lot of tackles but few were really productive. The Raiders only had 4 tackles for loss all game and 3 were sacks. Not good.
The LB’s were physically beat up this game.
It was funny watching Bills WR Sammy Watkins frustration yesterday. On three occasions he threw up his hands when Bills QB Tyrod Taylor missed him on pass plays. He was open for big plays twice but the passes weren’t near him. Taylor is not a good passer and it’s hard to know if it was the defense or Taylor that limited the Bills passing game. Probably both. TJ Carrie played better as the game went on, regaining the confidence that had left him. Amerson was beaten for moderately long passes twice but Taylor missed badly on both. Amerson is good in short to mid range passes and struggles against fast WR that can go deep. Tough game to judge.
Not a bad day by this unit, but it was against a bad QB.
It’s not hard to out coach Rex Ryan but the only thing that stood out was the Raiders running read option plays with Carr. Carr is not particularly fast and even though his pinky situation is beyond overly dramatic (I’ve had that happen to me twice in basketball games; many have had it happen; I never missed any time) if a team in the NFL loses their starting QB, there goes the season. Carr should NOT be running the ball unless it’s while being rushed.
Don’t run Carr.
Sebastian Janikowski had a solid day. The Raiders didn’t have many opportunities in the return game. Marquette King had a good day punting with 2 inside the 20 including one late in the game. King seems like a nice guy but his need for attention is getting to be a bit much. I guess if you are a young Raider fan you love the flag routine but getting a penalty isn’t what you want from your punter. What’s next, an onfield selfie while planking or doing the mannequin and cinnamon challenge? Not getting it Marquette.
Solid game all around.
The Raiders OL wears down another opponent; gives the defense lots of rest time late, and they get another win. The Bills are near out of the playoff picture now and to be honest with that coaching staff and QB they are not going anywhere anytime soon anyways.
Kansas City Chiefs:
Ah the winter months. The Raiders will play Thursday night in Kansas City. Snow is predicted for Wednesday, and Thursday nights prediction is for a high of 27 and a low of 13. Some forecasters say the snow may linger into Thursday and it may get into single digits. Predicting weather for cold states is a crap shoot but if you are a fan traveling to Arrowhead, prepare for cold and lots of it. (For fans going, the Chiefs have announced they are opening the parking lots at noon).
Now the fun starts. The Raiders will play 3 of 4 on the road. The Raiders are winning but they still have holes big time on defense. Let’s be real though. EVERY NFL team has holes. The days of the 1970’s super teams are definitely over with the salary cap era.
The Chiefs have owned the Raiders in recent years. Their QB Alex Smith has a 6-1 record as a QB against the Raiders. Their pass rush and blitzing dominated the Raiders early in the season. Carr struggled mightily in maybe his worst game of the year 26-10. What’s worse is now star pass rusher Justin Houston is back and he’s getting healthier and better every day he plays. Add new pass rusher Dee Ford who is tied with Kahlil Mack with 10 sacks, and an aging Tamba Hali, and one of the worst pass rushes in the NFL now is one of the better ones. Eric Berry had 2 huge interceptions including a return of a missed 2 point conversion which won the game for the Chiefs. They too have had a magical season. The Chiefs have given up a lot of yards this year but their D tightens up in the red zone.
Last week against Atlanta, coach Andy Reid played very aggressively. Fake punts, throwing deep; it was way out of his nature. In the the last months though, Alex Smith has struggled. The Ichabod Crane of the NFL has thrown 2 interceptions in the last 4 weeks. If you are going to play scared and conservative to not turn the ball over, then don’t turn the ball over. Smiths play will dictate a lot of the game. The often injured Jeremy Maclin is questionable against the Raiders but lightning fast Tyreek Hill has been a huge weapon alongside steady WR Albert Wilson. Add one of the best TE in the game in Travis Kelce alongside a capable rushing attack and the Chiefs on offense can do some damage.
Look for both teams to try and establish a running game in the cold weather, and if by chance it snows, FG kicking will play a big part in this one with both teams have solid kicking games.
I know the fans are excited and that is fun to see, but this is the game that really is going to show where the Raiders are. Beating bad to average teams like Carolina and Buffalo with stirring comebacks is fun and exciting but it isn’t exactly championship stuff. Beating the Chiefs and Broncos on the road in the cold is though. Will the Raiders take control of the division or will they be swept by KC? This game will go a long way to seeing how the Raider season may end up. If they win, a division title is almost certain.